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DAATAN
Sep 11, 2026
Community 75%

A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.

Created
Jul 7, 2026
Resolves
Sep 11, 2026
Ahead of the upcoming elections, significant discussions and polls are underway in Israel regarding the formation of new political lists, primarily on the right. Yoaz Hendel and Hili Tropper are expected to announce a joint run, while a hypothetical party including Yuli Edelstein, Ayelet Shaked, and Gilaad Erdan garners six seats in polls. The idea of 'unity' lists is a prominent topic in the current political discourse, as many right-wing voters are seeking alternatives to the current Likud party.
50%You
Community 75%
You 50%
AI 42%

includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 178 days

Forecasts History

Will happen2
Won't happen0

Sources behind the AI estimate(2 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean29% · will
Press leans toward 'won't happen' · 71%

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Forecast by Kron BM · opened Jul 7, 2026 · resolves Sep 11, 2026 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 75% · AI estimate 42% · open for forecasts.