Sep 11, 2026
Community 75%
A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.
CreatedCreation date
Jul 7, 2026Jul 7, 2026, 01:23 PM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Sep 11, 2026Sep 11, 2026, 04:59 PM UTC
Ahead of the upcoming elections, significant discussions and polls are underway in Israel regarding the formation of new political lists, primarily on the right. Yoaz Hendel and Hili Tropper are expected to announce a joint run, while a hypothetical party including Yuli Edelstein, Ayelet Shaked, and Gilaad Erdan garners six seats in polls. The idea of 'unity' lists is a prominent topic in the current political discourse, as many right-wing voters are seeking alternatives to the current Likud party.
Community 75%
You 50%
AI 42%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 178 days
Forecasts History
Will happen2
Won't happen0
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Sources behind the AI estimate(2 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean29% · will
Press leans toward 'won't happen' · 71%Discussion (0)
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Forecast by Kron BM · opened Jul 7, 2026 · resolves Sep 11, 2026 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 75% · AI estimate 42% · open for forecasts.
Author
KB
Kron BMReputation 116Creation date
Jul 7, 2026, 01:23 PM UTC
Resolution date
Sep 11, 2026, 04:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!