Dec 31, 2026
Community 45%
Armenia will join the European Union by December 31, 2026.
CreatedCreation date
Jun 2, 2026Jun 2, 2026, 02:48 PM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Armenia's upcoming elections include rapid EU integration as a potential geopolitical direction for the country. Concurrently, the European Union has officially launched accession talks with Ukraine and Moldova, a process expected to take years.
Community 45%
You 50%
AI 48%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 164 days
Probability over time
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Forecasts History
Will happen1
Won't happen1
A
andrey1bar
25%
Sources behind the AI estimate(3 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean57% · will
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 57%Discussion (0)
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Forecast by komapc · opened Jun 2, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 45% · AI estimate 48% · open for forecasts.
Author
K
komapcAReputation 148Creation date
Jun 2, 2026, 02:48 PM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
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