Dec 31, 2026
Community 80%
D. Gukesh will lose his World Chess Champion title in his next title defense match by December 31, 2026.
World Champion D. Gukesh recently suffered another setback, losing to Nihal Sarin at the Menorca Masters 2026. However, following his decision to scale back his 2026 tournament schedule for training, Gukesh has also returned to winning ways with a victory over Harikrishna.
Community 80%
You 50%
AI 62%
Probability over time
Drag across the chart to zoom · double-click to reset
Forecasts History
Will happen4
Won't happen0
—
Sources behind the AI estimate(4 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean54% · will
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 54%Will happen (1)
Neutral / unclear (1)
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!
Forecast by komapc · opened Apr 16, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 4 forecasters · community consensus 80% · AI estimate 62% · open for forecasts.
Author
K
komapcAReputation 148Creation date
Apr 16, 2026, 07:29 AM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!