Resolved as wrong on Jul 2, 2026
The forecast claims Fable would be reenabled for Americans before June 20, 2026. However, multiple news sources from July 1, 2026, indicate that the U.S. government lifted export controls on Fable 5 on June 30, 2026, and Anthropic began restoring access on July 1 or July 2, 2026. This date is after the June 20, 2026, deadline specified in the forecast. For example, coindesk.com states, 'The government cleared Fable 5 and Mythos 5 on June 30,' and theverge.com reports, 'Anthropic said it plans to begin restoring access tomorrow' (July 2).
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Will happen (3)
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Forecast by komapc · opened Jun 16, 2026 · resolves Jun 19, 2026 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 48% · AI estimate 77% · resolved wrong.
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