Formal negotiations between the United States and Iran will commence by December 31, 2026.

Resolution

Resolved as wrong on

Multiple sources from April 21, 2026, explicitly state that the 'US puts negotiations with Iran on hold' (wsfa, fox19, hawaiinewsnow). Additionally, CNN and WSMV on the same date report President Trump extending a ceasefire and awaiting an Iranian proposal, indicating that formal negotiations had not commenced but were contingent on further actions. The BBC on April 23, 2026, noted 'US says no time frame for ending war', further suggesting a lack of formal negotiation progress. The Wikipedia and Britannica articles also refer to an ongoing '2026 Iran war' initiated in February 2026, which is inconsistent with the commencement of formal negotiations. There is no evidence provided that formal negotiations commenced within the forecast period.