What are the chances that Itamar Ben-Gvir will not reserve a spot for Idit Silman on the Otzma Yehudit party list by December 31, 2026? As of Aug 20, 2026: the AI estimate is 25%; the community estimate is 20%. · Updated Aug 20, 2026
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 134 days
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Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Will happen (1)
Won't happen (2)
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Forecast by Daniel Knut · opened Aug 20, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 1 forecaster · community consensus 20% · AI estimate 25% · open for forecasts.
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