Russia will accelerate the development of its nuclear triad and other advanced systems for its armed forces.

What are the chances that Russia will accelerate the development of its nuclear triad and other advanced systems for its armed forces? As of Aug 20, 2026: the AI estimate is 72%. · Updated Aug 20, 2026

CreatedCreation date

Feb 24, 2026Feb 24, 2026, 10:46 AM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Dec 31, 2028Dec 31, 2028, 12:00 AM UTC

Sources behind the AI estimate(20 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean75% · will

Will happen (9)

kyivpost.com668–86%↑ 86%

Russia’s Missile Machine Is Running Hot — and Ukraine May Not Get a Break, HUR Says↑ 86%Russian Navy to Commission First Zircon-Ready Yasen-M Submarine↑ 79%Zelensky Warns Russia’s 5,000-km Ballistic Missiles Could Reach Every European Capital Soon↑ 80%Russia Cuts Funding for Key Civilian Tech Projects↑ 75%North Korea May Deploy Missile Unit to Russia for Strikes on Ukraine, Kyiv Intelligence Says↑ 73%Zelensky Warns of 30,000 More North Korean Troops as Russia Expands Foreign War Machine↑ 68%

pravda.com.ua423–88%↑ 88%

Ukrainian military intelligence agency: Russia has met its annual production targets for Zircon and Oniks missiles↑ 88%Ukraine's Defence Intelligence provides Ukrainska Pravda with data on Russia's missile stockpiles and production rates↑ 88%Ukraine's Unmanned Systems Forces' commander says Russia aims to launch 200 ballistic missiles simultaneously↑ 80%Zelenskyy: Russia has received ballistic missiles from North Korea and is preparing to deploy additional contingent↓ 23%

defensenews.com280–87%↑ 87%

Ukraine braces for combined salvos of up to 200 missiles as overnight attack kills 15 in Kyiv↑ 87%UK ratchets up nuclear spending, with new warhead and delivery planes in the works↑ 80%

timesofindia.indiatimes.com280–83%↑ 83%

Russia revives 28,000-tonne Cold War nuclear giant with hypersonic missiles, returns to Arctic port - The Times of India↑ 83%Drones, AI and nuclear submarines: Inside UK’s £298 billion plan to make Britain war-ready - The Times of India↑ 80%

aa.com.tr265–68%↑ 68%

Putin says Russia developing despite pressure from 'collective West'↑ 68%Putin says Russia to expand distribution of new nuclear power units to Far East, Siberia, Urals↑ 65%

jamestown.orgRussia Sustaining War Machine Despite Western Sanctions - Jamestown↑ 83%

yahoo.comRussia rolling out Starlink-style network faster than expected, Kyiv says↑ 79%

aljazeera.netبوتين يرفض "هدنة بشروط كييف".. هل تتجه الحرب إلى جولة تصعيد جديدة؟↑ 73%

meduza.ioУкраинская разведка утверждает, что Россия планирует развернуть в Воронежской области ракетное подразделение КНДР — Meduza↑ 68%

Author·

komapcA·Reputation 104

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Forecast by komapc · opened Feb 24, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2028 · 0 forecasters · AI estimate 72% · open for forecasts.

Author

komapcAReputation 104

Creation date

Feb 24, 2026, 10:46 AM UTC

Resolution date

Dec 31, 2028, 12:00 AM UTC

Discussion (0)

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!