What are the chances that The Blue and White party, led by Benny Gantz, will announce by the end of August 2026 that it will not run in the next elections as an independent party? As of Aug 20, 2026: the AI estimate is 47%; the community estimate is 53%. · Updated Aug 20, 2026
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 12 days
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Will happen (3)
Won't happen (3)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!
Forecast by Kron BM · opened Aug 6, 2026 · resolves Aug 31, 2026 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 53% · AI estimate 47% · open for forecasts.
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!