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Turkey will acquire nuclear weapons by May 6, 2029.

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The ongoing conflict with Iran and increasing regional instability are fueling a growing nuclear threat in the Middle East, with several nations, including Turkey, reportedly considering alternatives to the US nuclear umbrella. Turkish President Erdogan has previously expressed interest in acquiring nuclear weapons, and NATO recently intercepted an Iranian missile targeting Turkey, highlighting the heightened tensions.

This prediction will resolve as 'Yes' if Turkey officially announces the acquisition or successful development of nuclear weapons, or if a credible international body (e.g., IAEA, UN Security Council) or major news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP) confirm Turkey's possession of nuclear weapons. Otherwise, it resolves as 'No'.

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100%

Turkey will acquire nuclear weapons by May 6, 2029.

Resolution date

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The ongoing conflict with Iran and increasing regional instability are fueling a growing nuclear threat in the Middle East, with several nations, including Turkey, reportedly considering alternatives to the US nuclear umbrella. Turkish President Erdogan has previously expressed interest in acquiring nuclear weapons, and NATO recently intercepted an Iranian missile targeting Turkey, highlighting the heightened tensions.

This prediction will resolve as 'Yes' if Turkey officially announces the acquisition or successful development of nuclear weapons, or if a credible international body (e.g., IAEA, UN Security Council) or major news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP) confirm Turkey's possession of nuclear weapons. Otherwise, it resolves as 'No'.