Ukraine will successfully strike the Kerch Bridge by August 6, 2026.

Ukraine has escalated its disruption of Russian logistics in Crimea, with recent attacks on the peninsula and an announced 40-day "operation of influence" on Russia. The Kerch Bridge, a critical link to Crimea, has recently experienced closures and long queues, indicating its continued importance and potential as a target in Ukraine's efforts to isolate Crimea.