A federal bill explicitly preempting state AI laws is enacted by the U.S. Congress by August 31, 2026.

CreatedCreation date

Aug 6, 2026Aug 6, 2026, 06:49 AM UTC

ResolvesResolution date

Aug 31, 2026Aug 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

Community 50%

You 50%

AI 3%

Sources behind the evidence estimate(19 publications)

Publications that fed the Oracul, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.

Press lean53% · will

Will happen (7)

cnbc.com450–68%↑ 68%

thehill.com250–67%↑ 67%

Won't happen (4)

aljazeera.com227–50%↓ 27%

fortune.com225–50%↓ 25%

independent.co.uk222–68%↓ 22%

Neutral / unclear (1)

Author·

komapcA·ELO 1404

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!

Forecast by komapc · opened Aug 6, 2026 · resolves Aug 31, 2026 · 0 forecasters · evidence estimate 3% · pending.

Author

Creation date

Aug 6, 2026, 06:49 AM UTC

Resolution date

Aug 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC

No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!