Will significant new destruction by Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in El Fasher be reported by credible international organizations or major news outlets by December 31, 2026?
100%
Will significant new destruction by Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in El Fasher be reported by credible international organizations or major news outlets by December 31, 2026?
Resolution date
Tags
UN experts have reported a "campaign of destruction" by Sudan's Rapid Support Forces (RSF) against non-Arab communities in and near El Fasher in October 2025, which bears the "hallmarks of genocide." This destruction followed the RSF taking control of El Fasher, the last stronghold of the government in Darfur, leading to fears of a "human rights catastrophe" and ongoing reports of attacks and atrocities.
Resolved YES if credible international organizations (e.g., UN, Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch) or major news outlets (e.g., AP, Reuters, CNN, BBC) report significant new destruction by the Rapid Support Forces (RSF) in El Fasher, Sudan, occurring after February 19, 2026, and before December 31, 2026. 'Significant new destruction' is defined as widespread damage to infrastructure, residential areas, or cultural sites, or mass displacement of populations due to RSF actions, distinct from events reported prior to February 19, 2026. Resolved NO otherwise.
DAATAN