Resolved as correct on Jun 15, 2026
Multiple reputable news sources reported that a memorandum of understanding (MoU) or a preliminary peace deal between the US and Iran was signed within the forecast period. Specifically, Middle East Eye reported on June 15, 2026, citing senior US officials and Reuters, that 'The US and Iran have signed a memorandum of understanding aimed at ending their nearly four-month war'. This report also mentioned a digital signing and named signatories. Meduza.io, also on June 15, 2026, citing Axios, reported plans for a virtual meeting on June 14 to remotely sign an MoU. While some reports mentioned a formal signing ceremony scheduled for June 19, the explicit reporting of a signed document by June 15 by major reputable news agencies fulfills the resolution criteria.
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Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Will happen (7)
Neutral / unclear (1)
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Forecast by komapc · opened Jun 13, 2026 · resolves Jun 20, 2026 · 2 forecasters · community consensus 78% · AI estimate 76% · resolved correct.
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