Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.

Resolved as 'Yes' if Likud forms the governing coalition following the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026. If no single party forms a government, 'Yes' if Likud is the largest party in the Knesset. If no general election is held by December 31, 2026, the prediction resolves as 'No'. Official results from the Israeli Central Elections Committee will be used for resolution.