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SpaceX Starship successfully orbits Earth in next launch

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Success defined as completing at least one full orbit and splashing down.

Resolves YES if the next SpaceX Starship vehicle completes at least one full orbit of Earth and achieves a successful controlled splashdown or landing as confirmed by SpaceX. The forecast covers the very next Starship launch attempt after creation. Resolves NO if that launch fails to complete a full orbit or results in vehicle loss.

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Mark Janwuf

Won't happen· 37%

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SpaceX Starship successfully orbits Earth in next launch

Resolution date

Tags

Success defined as completing at least one full orbit and splashing down.

Resolves YES if the next SpaceX Starship vehicle completes at least one full orbit of Earth and achieves a successful controlled splashdown or landing as confirmed by SpaceX. The forecast covers the very next Starship launch attempt after creation. Resolves NO if that launch fails to complete a full orbit or results in vehicle loss.