The United States will deploy ground troops to Iran by December 31, 2026.
100%
The United States will deploy ground troops to Iran by December 31, 2026.
Resolution date
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Recent reports indicate that the Pentagon has developed plans for deploying American troops to Iran, with President Donald Trump privately expressing serious interest in such a move. US lawmakers have voiced concerns about the potential for 'boots on the ground' in Iran. Iran's deputy foreign minister has warned the US of severe consequences if troops are deployed.
Resolves YES if US military ground forces (Army, Marine Corps, or Special Operations Forces) are confirmed physically operating inside Iranian sovereign territory by December 31, 2026, as confirmed by the Pentagon, US Congressional testimony, or multiple credible international news organizations. Airstrikes, naval operations, or missile attacks alone do not qualify. Resolves NO if no US ground troops are confirmed inside Iran by that date.