What are the chances that There will be a military mobilisation in Russia by September 5, 2026? As of Aug 21, 2026: the AI estimate is 60%; the community estimate is 37%. · Updated Aug 21, 2026
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 16 days
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Will happen (27)
Won't happen (1)
Neutral / unclear (2)
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Forecast by komapc · opened Jul 7, 2026 · resolves Sep 5, 2026 · 4 forecasters · community consensus 37% · AI estimate 60% · open for forecasts.
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