Evgeny Ber

JoinedMarch 2026

ELO Rating

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no resolved forecasts in Technology yet

Everyone starts at 1500. Beat the other forecasters on the same event and you take points from them; lose and they take yours.

Humanity will defeat aging

Humanity will defeat aging by December 31, 2032.

Performance

Accuracy · Technology—need 3 more resolved to show

The share of resolved forecasts that turned out right. Ignores how confident you were.

Brier Score · Technology—no scored forecasts yet — enter a % estimate when you stake

How close the probabilities were to what actually happened: (probability − outcome)², averaged. 0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip, lower is better.