Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

What are the chances that Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026? As of Aug 19, 2026: the AI estimate is 38%; the community estimate is 19%. · Updated Aug 19, 2026

Recent polls indicate that the Likud party is currently projected to win around 21 seats in the upcoming Israeli Knesset election, representing a drop in popularity. Other parties have seen gains, and the elections are expected within the next few months.

Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

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Sources behind the AI estimate(181 publications)

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