RESOLVED CORRECT
Dec 31, 2026
Peter Magyar will officially assume the role of Prime Minister of Hungary by December 31, 2026.
CreatedCreation date
Apr 13, 2026Apr 13, 2026, 04:35 PM UTC
ResolvesResolution date
Dec 31, 2026Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Recent reports confirm Peter Magyar has officially assumed the role of Prime Minister of Hungary, actively leading his government in submitting constitutional reforms and attending international events. Viktor Orban, now serving as Foreign Minister, is identified as Magyar's predecessor, marking a definitive change in national leadership. Magyar's government is currently facing opposition over its proposed constitutional overhaul, which includes plans to remove the President.
Community 90%
You 50%
AI 84%
includes time-remaining adjustment — deadline in 164 days
Resolution
Resolved as correct on Jul 7, 2026
Probability over time
Drag across the chart to zoom · double-click to reset
Forecasts History
Will happen4
Won't happen0
—
Sources behind the AI estimate(5 publications)
Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
Press lean71% · will
Press leans toward 'will happen' · 71%Will happen (3)
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!
Forecast by andrey1bar · opened Apr 13, 2026 · resolves Dec 31, 2026 · 4 forecasters · community consensus 90% · AI estimate 84% · resolved correct.
Creation date
Apr 13, 2026, 04:35 PM UTC
Resolution date
Dec 31, 2026, 11:59 PM UTC
Discussion (0)
No comments yet. Be the first to share your thoughts!