The Strait of Hormuz will be fully closed to all international commercial shipping by April 9, 2026.

Resolution

Resolved as correct on

The Strait of Hormuz was effectively closed to all international commercial shipping by April 9, 2026. Multiple major news sources confirm this status. Congress.gov reported on March 11, 2026, that Iranian forces declared the Strait 'closed' starting March 4, 2026, and were threatening and carrying out attacks on ships. Euronews, on April 8, 2026, referred to 'over a month of near-total closure,' indicating the closure spanned the forecast period. NBC News, on April 10, 2026, quoted a chief executive stating, 'the Strait of Hormuz is not open. Access is being restricted, conditioned and controlled.' While Reuters reported on April 9, 2026, that traffic was 'well below 10% of normal volumes,' this, in conjunction with the other reports of the Strait being 'declared closed,' 'near-total closure,' and 'not open' with severe restrictions (e.g., Bloomberg mentioning vessels limited to two narrow routes to avoid mines), indicates it was effectively closed to all normal international commercial shipping, fulfilling the resolution criteria.