The United States will not conduct a military strike against Iran by February 22, 2026.
RESOLVED CORRECT
The United States will not conduct a military strike against Iran by February 22, 2026.
Resolution date
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Recent reports indicate the US military is preparing for potential prolonged military operations against Iran, should President Trump order an attack. While there's speculation about a future strike, with some predicting an attack by June, current sentiment suggests an immediate strike is unlikely, as the US is cautious about the implications and coordination with Israel is key. US Ambassador Mike Huckabee also emphasized strong US-Israel coordination regarding Iran's nuclear ambitions.
Resolved as 'Yes' if official US government sources, or major reputable news agencies (e.g., Reuters, AP, BBC, New York Times) report that the United States military has conducted an overt military strike against targets within Iran's sovereign territory. Covert operations or cyberattacks do not count. Resolved as 'No' otherwise.