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Retro Analysis

Roman Bar (@null) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

Roman Bar

Roman Bar

JoinedMarch 2026

All8 Sports4 Conflict3 Geopolitics3 Middle East2 politics2 Chess2 NBA2 Elections1

Skill Rating

1535

± 228 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1465global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1535global · ± 228 uncertainty

Brier Score · Middle East0.6321 scored · lower is better · limited data

Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored

Peer Score · Middle East-0.341 scored

AI Score · Middle East-0.271 scored

RS · Middle East

created(0)participated(2)resolved(1)

Wrong

4Conflict Geopolitics

A high-intensity military conflict will resume between Iran and US/allied forces by early May 2026, and the Strait of Hormuz will be open to international shipping by mid-May 2026.

YES✗ 0.632

-38

Reputation62.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Middle East

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