Skill Rating
1639
± 290 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1468global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1639global · ± 290 uncertainty
Brier Score0.0731 scored · lower is better · limited data
Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored
Peer Score-0.061 scored
AI Score-0.051 scored
Reputation118.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Peer score by topic
Conflict-0.059(1)
Geopolitics-0.059(1)
Europe-0.059(1)
Glicko-2 Skill History
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Correct
3ConflictGeopolitics
Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES