DAATANThe pool behind this number currently holds no usable evidence — every article gathered for this claim failed extraction or was set aside. The estimate stands until fresh evidence lands, but nothing here backs it.
Resolved as correct on Jun 3, 2026
The forecast claims that the active phase of the war involving Iran will not resume before June 1, 2026. The resolution rules state that the prediction resolves as TRUE if no major military engagements involving Iran are widely reported by reputable news sources between April 14, 2026, and June 1, 2026. The provided news context, consisting of 12 articles from the forecast period, does not contain any reports of major military engagements involving Iran. Therefore, based on the available evidence, the condition for the claim to be TRUE is met.
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Publications that fed the Oracle, shown as voters — each takes a side on the claim by the stance of its reporting.
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Forecast by komapc · opened Apr 14, 2026 · resolves Jun 1, 2026 · 3 forecasters · community consensus 30% · AI estimate 49% · resolved correct.
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