Skip to content

Forecast Tracking

Forecasts
Activity
Leaderboard
Settings
Elections
About
Contact Us
Retro Analysis

andrey1bar (@andrey1bar) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

a

andrey1bar

A

@andrey1bar

JoinedFebruary 2026

All79 Geopolitics36 politics26 Conflict19 Middle East15 Israel13 Technology12 Sports12 Business10

Skill Rating

1710

± 139 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(10)participated(12)resolved(9)

Wrong

3Sports Football

France will win the 2026 World Cup by July 19, 2026.

YES✗ 0.449

Correct

3Sports Football

Lionel Messi will score at least 8 goals in the 2026 FIFA World Cup before the tournament concludes.

YES✓ 0.122

Correct

2Sports Basketball

The New York Knicks will win the 2026 NBA Finals series against the San Antonio Spurs by June 30, 2026.

YES✓ 0.053

Wrong

The Denver Nuggets will win their NBA playoff series against the Minnesota Timberwolves.

YES✗ 1.000

Correct

Portland will win at least one game against San Antonio in their playoff series by May 15, 2026.

YES✓ 0.065

Wrong

Javokhir Sindarov will lose his game in the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 played on April 14, 2026.

YES✗ 0.490

Correct

Who will win the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026?

Staked✓ 0.203

Wrong

Fabiano Caruana will win the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026.

YES✗ 0.360

Correct

The Portland Trail Blazers will not win the NBA championship by the end of the 2026 season.

YES

Performance

ELO Rating1443global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1710global · ± 139 uncertainty

Brier Score · Sports0.3438 scored · lower is better

Accuracy · Sports56%9 resolved

Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored

Peer Score · Sports-0.031 scored

ROI-7.67RS / resolved prediction

AI Score · Sports-0.284 scored

RS · Sports-69

Reputation60.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Sports

Loading…