DAATAN
1590
politics only · head-to-head
Everyone starts at 1500. Beat the other forecasters on the same event and you take points from them; lose and they take yours.
Itamar Ben-Gvir will not reserve a spot for Hanoch Milwidsky on the Otzma Yehudit party list for the next general elections in Israel.
Performance
The share of resolved forecasts that turned out right. Ignores how confident you were.
How close the probabilities were to what actually happened: (probability − outcome)², averaged. 0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip, lower is better.
