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Retro Analysis

Kron BM (@kron_bm) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

K

Kron BM

@kron_bm

JoinedMay 2026

All34 politics14 Geopolitics13 Technology8 Conflict6 Middle East6 Business6 Israel5 Israeli Elections 20265

Skill Rating

1816

± 203 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(3)participated(6)resolved(1)

1AI: 32±8%AI Business

Anthropic will announce the acquisition of Israeli AI startup Decart by August 31, 2026.

YES

Correct

1Technology Business

Google will unveil a foldable model in the Pixel 11 series on August 12, 2026.

YES

2AI: 62±7%Technology AI

Google will make AI Mode the default tab in search results in the United States by December 31, 2026.

YES

3AI: 42±11%Business Technology

Mark Zuckerberg will achieve a net worth of $1 trillion by December 31, 2026.

NO

2AI: 63±10%AI Technology

ChatGPT will be the most commonly used AI tool worldwide, including for code writing, by June 9, 2028

YES

3AI: 86±42%Business Technology

The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026.

NO

Performance

ELO Rating1476global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1816global · ± 203 uncertainty

Brier Score · Business0.0901 scored · lower is better · limited data

AI Score · Business+0.631 scored

RS · Business+16

Reputation184.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Business

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