komapc

@komapc

JoinedFebruary 2026

Forecasts5 created5 participated

Brier Score · Sports0.0162 scored

RS · Sports+47.0

ELO Rating1500global

Skill Rating History · Sports

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Reputation

41.3 RS

μ 1500 ± 350

Recent Participations

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4AI: 65%

D. Gukesh will lose his World Chess Champion title in his next title defense match by December 31, 2026.

4commitments

komapcA

Staked

Wrong

Javokhir Sindarov will lose his game in the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 played on April 14, 2026.

2commitments

andrey1barA

Public Forecasts

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1AI: 85%

Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

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2AI: 20%

Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.

2commitments

komapcA

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1AI: 65%

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

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2AI: 15%

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

2commitments

komapcA

AI: 40%

The Houthi movement will lose control of at least one significant territory currently under its control by December 31, 2026.

komapcA

komapc

Recent Participations

D. Gukesh will lose his World Chess Champion title in his next title defense match by December 31, 2026.

Javokhir Sindarov will lose his game in the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 played on April 14, 2026.

Javokhir Sindarov will reach a FIDE standard rating of 2800 by December 31, 2026.

Who will win the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026?

Magnus Carlsen will no longer be the FIDE World No. 1 rated chess player by December 31, 2028.

Public Forecasts

Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.

Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

The Houthi movement will lose control of at least one significant territory currently under its control by December 31, 2026.