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komapc (@komapc) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

k

komapc

A

@komapc

JoinedFebruary 2026

All112 Geopolitics62 Conflict35 politics29 Middle East27 Technology18 Israel14 Elections12 Business11

Skill Rating

1782

± 132 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(5)participated(12)resolved(3)

3AI: 58±8%politics Elections

In the next Knesset elections, no single party will receive more than 25 seats.

NO

Correct

2politics Elections

By August 18, 2026, the Yeshar Party will lead Likud in at least two different national mandate polls, and in at least one of these polls, the lead will be two mandates or more.

NO

4AI: 54±9%politics Elections

Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.

YES

4AI: 62±6%politics Israeli Politics

The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.

YES

3AI: 38±4%politics Elections

Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

NO

Wrong

1politics Israel

The Israeli parliament will be dissolved by July 15, 2026.

YES

4AI: 59±7%politics Elections

At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.

YES

Correct

1politics Elections

Nikol Pashinyan will win the Armenian parliamentary elections held on June 7, 2026.

YES

2AI: 50±4%politics Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.

NO

2AI: 63±8%politics Geopolitics

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

YES

7AI: 50±5%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.

NO

2AI: 47±3%politics Elections

Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.

YES

Performance

ELO Rating1439global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1782global · ± 132 uncertainty

Brier Score · Elections0.4083 scored · lower is better · limited data

Accuracy · Elections33%3 resolved

Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored

Peer Score · Elections-0.21 scored

ROI-16RS / resolved prediction

AI Score · Elections-1.023 scored

RS · Elections-48

Reputation104.3 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Elections

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