k
komapc
A@komapc
JoinedFebruary 2026
Skill Rating
1715
± 232 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1545global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1715global · ± 232 uncertainty
Brier Score0.28210 scored · lower is better
Accuracy63%16 resolved
ROI-1.63RS / resolved prediction
AI Score+0.482 scored
Reputation72.3 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History
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Benjamin Netanyahu will lead his party to victory in the next general election in Israel by December 31, 2026.
No source link
1commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
Elon Musk will tweet about Daatan by December 31, 2028.
No source link
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
NO
—
Volodymyr Zelensky will meet Vladimir Putin by July 17, 2026.
4commitments
K
komapcA
NO
Pending
2TechnologyBusiness
Fable will be reenabled for Americans before June 20, 2026.
No source link
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
A new military conflict will begin in Africa before December 3, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
The New York Knicks will win the 2026 NBA Finals series against the San Antonio Spurs by June 30, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
Correct
2GeopoliticsConflict
A memorandum of understanding (MoU) or a peace deal between Iran and the USA will be officially signed by June 20, 2026.
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.
3commitments
RH
Roman Halfin
NO
—
ChatGPT will be the most commonly used AI tool worldwide, including for code writing, by June 9, 2028
2commitments
KB
Kron BM
NO
—
The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Pending
1politicsElections
Nikol Pashinyan will win the Armenian parliamentary elections held on June 7, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Armenia will join the European Union by December 31, 2026.
1commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
By December 31, 2028, Montenegro will become a full member state of the European Union.
No source link
2commitments
KB
Kron BM
NO
—
Benjamin Netanyahu will form the next government in Israel by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
Ori zimroni
NO
—
The death penalty will be fully abolished in Israel by May 18, 2031.
2commitments
K
komapcA
NO
—
Iran will continue to enforce its two-tier internet access regime for the general public by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
Vladimir Putin will not be the President of Russia by May 8, 2027.
3commitments
A
andrey1barA
NO
—
The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
Correct
3GeopoliticsConflict
Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.
3commitments
K
komapcA
YES
—
The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES