DAATANDAATAN
k

komapc

A

@komapc

JoinedFebruary 2026
All66Geopolitics36Conflict20Middle East15politics14Technology11Economy7Business7Israel7
Skill Rating

1715

± 232 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1545global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1715global · ± 232 uncertainty
Brier Score0.28210 scored · lower is better
Accuracy63%16 resolved
ROI-1.63RS / resolved prediction
AI Score+0.482 scored
Reputation72.3 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History

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created(70)participated(62)resolved(15)
Correct
2GeopoliticsConflict

A memorandum of understanding (MoU) or a peace deal between Iran and the USA will be officially signed by June 20, 2026.

2
K
komapcA
YES✓ 0.017
Correct
3GeopoliticsConflict

Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.

3
K
komapcA
YES✓ 0.014
Wrong
3GeopoliticsIran

Formal negotiations between the United States and Iran will commence by December 31, 2026.

3
K
komapcA
YES✗ 0.766
Wrong
3GeopoliticsConflict

Between April 15, 2026, and April 22, 2026, no international commercial passenger flights to or from Israel will be canceled specifically due to the conflict with Iran.

3
K
komapcA
YES✗ 0.846
Wrong
2ChessSports

Javokhir Sindarov will lose his game in the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026 played on April 14, 2026.

2
A
andrey1barA
NO✓ 0.021
Correct
3GeopoliticsConflict

The active phase of the war involving Iran will not resume before June 1, 2026.

3
K
komapcA
NO✗ 0.410
Correct
3GeopoliticsConflict

The conflict between Iran and its adversaries (e.g., US, Israel) will resume by April 23, 2026.

3
A
andrey1barA
NO✗ 0.331
Correct
5ChessSports

Who will win the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026?

5
K
komapcA
Staked✓ 0.010
Correct
5GeopoliticsEnergy

The Strait of Hormuz will be fully closed to all international commercial shipping by April 9, 2026.

5
K
komapcA
NO✓ 0.203
Correct
1WeatherIsrael

It will be raining in Tel Aviv on March 12, 2026.

1
A
andrey1barA
NO✓ 0.202
Wrong
1EnergyEconomy

The price of WTI crude oil will be lower tomorrow at least 10 per cent than today

1
K
komapcA
NO
Correct
2ConflictGeopolitics

The major hostilities in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will not formally end by March 8, 2026.

2
A
andrey1barA
YES
Wrong
1GeopoliticsConflict

Bat Yam will not experience any rocket or missile strikes on March 4, 2026.

1
K
komapcA
NO
Correct
1GeopoliticsConflict

The United States will conduct military strikes against Iran by March 31, 2026.

1
K
komapcA
NO
Correct
1GeopoliticsConflict

The United States will not conduct a military strike against Iran by February 22, 2026.

1
A
andrey1barA
YES