Evgeny Ber

Evgeny Ber

JoinedMarch 2026

All25 Geopolitics15 Conflict9 Middle East7 politics5 Sports5 Chess4 Europe3 Technology2

Skill Rating

1616

± 195 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1429global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1616global · ± 195 uncertainty

Brier Score · Sports0.0231 scored · lower is better · limited data

RS · Sports+23

Reputation83.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Sports

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created(1)participated(5)resolved(1)

3AI: 72±8%Sports Football

France will win the 2026 World Cup by July 19, 2026.

YES

3AI: 55%Sports Chess

Yağız Kaan Erdoğmuş will become one of the top 10 ranked chess players in the world by December 31, 2026.

NO

4AI: 52±34%Sports Chess

D. Gukesh will lose his World Chess Champion title in his next title defense match by December 31, 2026.

YES

Correct

Who will win the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026?

Staked

3AI: 72±25%Sports Chess

Magnus Carlsen will no longer be the FIDE World No. 1 rated chess player by December 31, 2028.

YES