J

John Lennon

@john_lennon

JoinedApril 2026

All4 Geopolitics3 Conflict2 Middle East1 Economy1 Energy1 Israel1 Urban Development1 Infrastructure1

Skill Rating

1500

± 350 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1500global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1500global · ± 350 uncertainty

Reputation100.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History

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Created(0)Participated(4)Resolved(0)

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2AI: 95%GeopoliticsConflict

The Israeli army will maintain a presence in Lebanese territory until at least December 31, 2026.

Personal

2commitments

YES

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2AI: 45%EconomyEnergy

The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.

2commitments

NO

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4AI: 70%Urban DevelopmentIsrael

The new central bus station in Tel Aviv will be demolished by December 31, 2030.

Personal

4commitments

NO

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3AI: 90%GeopoliticsConflict

At least one additional U.S. military aircraft will crash in the ongoing conflict involving Iran by December 31, 2026.

3commitments

YES