J

John Lennon

@john_lennon

JoinedApril 2026

All4 Geopolitics3 Conflict2 Energy1 Urban Development1 Economy1 Israel1 Infrastructure1 Middle East1

Skill Rating

1500

± 350 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1500global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1500global · ± 350 uncertainty

Reputation100.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History

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created(0)participated(4)resolved(0)

2AI: 90±16%Geopolitics Conflict

The Israeli army will maintain a presence in Lebanese territory until at least December 31, 2026.

YES

2AI: 54±35%Economy Energy

The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.

NO

4AI: 68%Urban Development Israel

The new central bus station in Tel Aviv will be demolished by December 31, 2030.

NO

3AI: 77%Geopolitics Conflict

At least one additional U.S. military aircraft will crash in the ongoing conflict involving Iran by December 31, 2026.

YES