Daniel Knut

Daniel Knut

JoinedApril 2026

All7 Geopolitics6 Conflict3 Middle East3 politics2 US Politics2 Iran2 International Relations1 Elections1

Skill Rating

1710

± 255 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1589global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1710global · ± 255 uncertainty

Brier Score · Conflict0.5682 scored · lower is better · limited data

RS · Conflict-64

Reputation34.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Conflict

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created(0)participated(3)resolved(2)

Correct

3Conflict Geopolitics

The conflict between Iran and its adversaries (e.g., US, Israel) will resume by April 23, 2026.

NO✗ 0.980

Wrong

4Conflict Geopolitics

A high-intensity military conflict will resume between Iran and US/allied forces by early May 2026, and the Strait of Hormuz will be open to international shipping by mid-May 2026.

NO✓ 0.156