a

andrey1bar

A

@andrey1bar

JoinedFebruary 2026

All79 Geopolitics36 politics26 Conflict19 Middle East15 Israel13 Technology12 Sports12 Business10

Skill Rating

1710

± 139 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(9)participated(15)resolved(5)

Wrong

1Geopolitics Conflict

A direct military confrontation between Israel and Iran will resume by July 23, 2026.

A

andrey1bar

4AI: 39±6%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

A

andrey1bar

Wrong

2Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will engage in a significant military conflict with Iran by October 27, 2026.

A

andrey1bar

AI: 47±34%Geopolitics Middle East

Diplomatic relations between Israel and Turkey are officially restored to ambassadorial level by December 31, 2026.

A

andrey1bar

2AI: 39±3%Geopolitics Conflict

The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.

A

andrey1bar

2AI: 53±6%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will establish a permanent buffer zone in southern Lebanon and official sources will confirm the dismantling of Hezbollah's military infrastructure within that zone by December 31, 2026.

A

andrey1bar

Correct

2Conflict Geopolitics

The major hostilities in the ongoing conflict in the Middle East will not formally end by March 8, 2026.

A

andrey1bar

Correct

1Geopolitics Conflict

The United States will not conduct a military strike against Iran by February 22, 2026.

A

andrey1bar

Draft

Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will not launch a military strike against targets within Iran prior to February 11, 2026.

A

andrey1bar

Performance

ELO Rating1443global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1710global · ± 139 uncertainty

Brier Score · Middle East0.4943 scored · lower is better · limited data

Accuracy · Middle East40%5 resolved

ROI-14RS / resolved prediction

AI Score · Middle East-0.762 scored

RS · Middle East-70

Reputation60.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Middle East

Loading…