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komapc (@komapc) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

k

komapc

A

@komapc

JoinedFebruary 2026

All112 Geopolitics62 Conflict35 politics29 Middle East27 Technology18 Israel14 Elections12 Business11

Skill Rating

1782

± 132 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(17)participated(29)resolved(4)

3AI: 58±8%politics Elections

In the next Knesset elections, no single party will receive more than 25 seats.

NO

Correct

2politics Elections

By August 18, 2026, the Yeshar Party will lead Likud in at least two different national mandate polls, and in at least one of these polls, the lead will be two mandates or more.

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NO

3AI: 36±7%politics UK Politics

Andy Burnham will remain Prime Minister of the United Kingdom at least until July 20, 2028.

YES

2AI: 61±31%politics Geopolitics

Vladimir Putin's illness will be reported by December 31, 2026.

NO

4AI: 54±9%politics Elections

Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.

YES

2AI: 50±49%Geopolitics politics

The Lukashenko will not be a leader of Belarus by July 17, 2031.

YES

1AI: 92±32%politics Geopolitics

A current head of government or head of state from the UK or Norway will lose their position or formally resign due to revelations in the Epstein files by the end of 2026.

YES

3AI: 62±40%Geopolitics politics

The US will officially recognise Somaliland by the end of 2027

NO

4AI: 62±6%politics Israeli Politics

The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.

YES

2AI: 55±20%politics Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu will be pardoned by December 31, 2026.

NO

Correct

4politics Europe

Peter Magyar will officially assume the role of Prime Minister of Hungary by December 31, 2026.

YES

3AI: 38±4%politics Elections

Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

NO

Wrong

1politics Israel

The Israeli parliament will be dissolved by July 15, 2026.

YES

2AI: 97±4%politics Israeli Elections 2026

Yoaz Hendel will run in the 26th Knesset elections as part of a party he leads or founded, and will not join another existing list.

YES

4AI: 59±7%politics Elections

At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.

YES

1AI: 42±16%politics Geopolitics

Bolivia's nationwide state of emergency will be officially lifted by December 31, 2026.

YES

3AI: 53±5%politics Geopolitics

Benjamin Netanyahu will be the Prime Minister of Israel on December 31, 2026.

NO

3AI: 63±10%politics Geopolitics

The next Israeli government will not include any Arab ministers by December 31, 2026.

YES

Correct

1politics Elections

Nikol Pashinyan will win the Armenian parliamentary elections held on June 7, 2026.

YES

2AI: 64±36%Geopolitics Europe

By December 31, 2028, Montenegro will become a full member state of the European Union.

NO

Performance

ELO Rating1439global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1782global · ± 132 uncertainty

Brier Score · politics0.3104 scored · lower is better · limited data

Accuracy · politics50%4 resolved

Wtd. Peer Score—need 1 more peer-scored

Peer Score · politics-0.212 scored

ROI-6RS / resolved prediction

AI Score · politics-0.994 scored

RS · politics-24

Reputation104.3 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · politics

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