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Daniel Knut (@null) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

Daniel Knut

Daniel Knut

JoinedApril 2026

All20 Geopolitics10 politics9 Middle East8 Conflict6 Elections5 Iran3 Israel3 Technology2

Skill Rating

1710

± 255 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1589global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1710global · ± 255 uncertainty

Brier Score · Conflict0.5682 scored · lower is better · limited data

RS · Conflict-64

Reputation34.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Conflict

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created(0)participated(6)resolved(2)

1AI: 12±15%Geopolitics Conflict

The US will officially declare war on Iran by December 31, 2026.

NO

4AI: 26±11%Geopolitics Conflict

All active armed conflicts globally will cease by December 31, 2026.

NO

1AI: 78±4%Geopolitics Middle East

Israel will annex West Bank territory before 2027.

NO

Correct

3Geopolitics Conflict

The conflict between Iran and its adversaries (e.g., US, Israel) will resume by April 23, 2026.

NO

2AI: 53±7%Geopolitics Conflict

Israel will establish a permanent buffer zone in southern Lebanon and official sources will confirm the dismantling of Hezbollah's military infrastructure within that zone by December 31, 2026.

NO

Wrong

4Geopolitics Conflict

A high-intensity military conflict will resume between Iran and US/allied forces by early May 2026, and the Strait of Hormuz will be open to international shipping by mid-May 2026.

NO