DAATAN@kron_bm
1504
politics only · head-to-head
Everyone starts at 1500. Beat the other forecasters on the same event and you take points from them; lose and they take yours.
Yoav Segalovitz will be a candidate on the Ra'am party list in the next Knesset elections.
A single large political list will not be formed, including at least four of the following six politicians: Benny Gantz, Yoaz Hendel, Hili Tropper, Ayelet Shaked, Yuli Edelstein, and Gilaad Erdan, by the final deadline for submitting candidate lists for the next general elections in Israel, expected to take place by December 31, 2026.
Performance
The share of resolved forecasts that turned out right. Ignores how confident you were.
How close the probabilities were to what actually happened: (probability − outcome)², averaged. 0 is perfect, 0.25 is a coin flip, lower is better.