Evgeny Ber

Evgeny Ber

JoinedMarch 2026

All25 Geopolitics15 Conflict9 Middle East7 politics5 Sports5 Chess4 Europe3 Technology2

Skill Rating

1616

± 195 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1429global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1616global · ± 195 uncertainty

Brier Score · Middle East0.4923 scored · lower is better · limited data

Accuracy · Middle East0%3 resolved

Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored

Peer Score · Middle East-0.011 scored

ROI-24.33RS / resolved prediction

AI Score · Middle East-0.011 scored

RS · Middle East-73

Reputation83.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Middle East

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created(0)participated(7)resolved(3)

2AI: 27±12%politics Elections

Likud will secure more than 33 seats in the next Israeli Knesset election by December 31, 2026.

NO

Wrong

2Geopolitics Conflict

There will be no missile strikes launched from Iranian territory against Israel, nor from Israeli territory against Iran, during May 2026.

YES

Wrong

4Geopolitics Conflict

A high-intensity military conflict will resume between Iran and US/allied forces by early May 2026, and the Strait of Hormuz will be open to international shipping by mid-May 2026.

YES

7AI: 67±22%politics Elections

Benjamin Netanyahu will win the 2026 Israeli general election and be appointed Prime Minister.

NO

Correct

3Geopolitics Conflict

The active phase of the war involving Iran will not resume before June 1, 2026.

NO

3Geopolitics Conflict

All active armed conflicts globally will cease by December 31, 2026.

NO

2AI: 59±10%Geopolitics Conflict

US forces will initiate a large-scale ground invasion and occupation of Kharg Island, Iran, by December 31, 2026.

YES