Skip to content

Forecast Tracking

Forecasts
Activity
Leaderboard
Settings
Elections
About
Contact Us
Retro Analysis

Lev Kan (@null) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

Lev Kan

Lev Kan

JoinedApril 2026

All16 Geopolitics13 Conflict7 Middle East7 politics4 Elections3 US Politics2 Energy2 Israel2

Skill Rating

1506

± 290 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1515global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1506global · ± 290 uncertainty

Brier Score · Middle East0.4831 scored · lower is better · limited data

AI Score · Middle East+0.011 scored

RS · Middle East-23

Reputation77.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Middle East

Loading…

created(1)participated(7)resolved(1)

1AI: 26±2%Geopolitics Energy

Maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will return to pre-conflict normal levels by September 30, 2026.

NO

3AI: 35±13%Geopolitics Middle East

A Jewish settlement, official or unofficial, will be established in Lebanese territory by December 31, 2026.

NO

3AI: 63±41%Geopolitics politics

The US will officially recognise Somaliland by the end of 2027

NO

2AI: 53±10%Geopolitics Middle East

Lebanon will officially recognize Israel by December 31, 2026.

NO

3AI: 36±36%Geopolitics Middle East

Egypt will join the Abraham Accords by January 1st, 2030.

NO

Wrong

2Geopolitics Conflict

There will be no missile strikes launched from Iranian territory against Israel, nor from Israeli territory against Iran, during May 2026.

YES

2AI: 35±2%Geopolitics Conflict

The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.

YES