Lev Kan (@null) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

Lev Kan

Lev Kan

JoinedApril 2026

All16 Geopolitics13 Conflict7 Middle East7 politics4 Elections3 US Politics2 Energy2 Israel2

Skill Rating

1506

± 290 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1515global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1506global · ± 290 uncertainty

Brier Score0.4831 scored · lower is better · limited data

AI Score+0.011 scored

Reputation77.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History

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created(2)participated(16)resolved(1)

1AI: 26±2%Geopolitics Energy

Maritime traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will return to pre-conflict normal levels by September 30, 2026.

NO

2AI: 86±6%Geopolitics France

France and Syria will announce the reopening of their respective embassies by January 7, 2027.

YES

4AI: 69±4%Geopolitics Russia

There will be a military mobilisation in Russia by September 5, 2026.

NO

3AI: 35±13%Geopolitics Middle East

A Jewish settlement, official or unofficial, will be established in Lebanese territory by December 31, 2026.

NO

2AI: 69±8%politics Elections

In the next Knesset elections, at least two parties currently represented in the Knesset will run and fail to pass the electoral threshold.

NO

3AI: 63±41%Geopolitics politics

The US will officially recognise Somaliland by the end of 2027

NO

3AI: 64±3%Geopolitics Conflict

Will the Ukrainian army take back, at least temporarily, a part of occupied Crimea by December 31, 2026?

NO

2AI: 53±10%Geopolitics Middle East

Lebanon will officially recognize Israel by December 31, 2026.

NO

4AI: 60±4%Geopolitics Defense

The U.S. will formally approve an F-35 sale to Turkey by December 31, 2026.

YES

4AI: 64±4%politics Israeli Politics

The first government sworn in after the next Knesset elections will include at least one party from the current opposition and one party from the current coalition.

NO

3AI: 36±36%Geopolitics Middle East

Egypt will join the Abraham Accords by January 1st, 2030.

NO

4AI: 61±3%politics Elections

Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.

YES

Wrong

2Geopolitics Conflict

There will be no missile strikes launched from Iranian territory against Israel, nor from Israeli territory against Iran, during May 2026.

YES

5AI: 61±4%Geopolitics Conflict

A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.

YES

2AI: 35±2%Geopolitics Conflict

The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.

YES

2AI: 55±6%Economy Energy

The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.

YES