Skill Rating
1506
± 290 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1515global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1506global · ± 290 uncertainty
Brier Score0.4831 scored · lower is better · limited data
AI Score+0.011 scored
Reputation77.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History
Loading…
Wrong
2GeopoliticsConflict
There will be no missile strikes launched from Iranian territory against Israel, nor from Israeli territory against Iran, during May 2026.
2commitments
Lev Kan
YES
—
A ceasefire lasting longer than one week will not be implemented in the conflict between Russia and Ukraine by December 31, 2026.
4commitments
Lev Kan
YES
—
The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.
2commitments
A
andrey1barA
YES
—
The price of Brent crude oil will reach or exceed $200 per barrel before December 31, 2026.
2commitments
K
komapcA
YES