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Retro Analysis

komapc (@komapc) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

k

komapc

A

@komapc

JoinedFebruary 2026

All112 Geopolitics62 Conflict35 politics29 Middle East27 Technology18 Israel14 Elections12 Business11

Skill Rating

1782

± 132 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(10)participated(11)resolved(1)

1AI: 76±7%Technology Business

Apple will unveil a foldable iPhone at its September 2026 event.

3AI: 42±11%Business Technology

Mark Zuckerberg will achieve a net worth of $1 trillion by December 31, 2026.

AI: 65±9%Technology Business

The Commodore Callback 8020 flip phone will sell more than 100,000 units globally by December 31, 2027.

Wrong

2Technology Business

Fable will be reenabled for Americans before June 20, 2026.

3AI: 88±42%Business Technology

The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026.

2AI: 77±25%Technology AI

Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.

1AI: 53±24%Technology politics

At least three additional US states will pass comprehensive right-to-repair legislation by December 31, 2026.

2AI: 61±5%Technology Business

Kalshi will become more popular than Polymarket by December 31, 2026.

AI: 51±11%Technology AI

Meta's Moltbook AI venture will be widely reported by major financial news outlets as a financial bubble that has burst by March 12, 2027.

1AI: 67±3%Economy Business

The S&P 500 index will experience a market crash of 20% or more from its peak by December 31, 2027.

Performance

ELO Rating1439global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1782global · ± 132 uncertainty

Brier Score · Business0.3721 scored · lower is better · limited data

AI Score · Business-0.121 scored

RS · Business-12

Reputation104.3 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Business

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