DAATANDAATAN
k
Skill Rating

1715

± 232 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Performance

ELO Rating1545global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1715global · ± 232 uncertainty
Reputation72.3 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Technology

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AI: 25%TechnologyBusiness

The Commodore Callback 8020 flip phone will sell more than 100,000 units globally by December 31, 2027.

Pending
2TechnologyBusiness

Fable will be reenabled for Americans before June 20, 2026.

No source link
2
K
komapcA
3AI: 82±15%GeopoliticsIran

Iran will continue to enforce its two-tier internet access regime for the general public by December 31, 2026.

3
K
komapcA
3AI: 69±12%BusinessTechnology

The Trump Mobile T1 smartphone will be delivered to pre-order customers by December 31, 2026.

3
K
komapcA
AI: 55±22%AITechnology

Large language models (LLMs) will be capable of writing binary code directly, bypassing traditional programming languages, with performance at least equivalent to code written using programming languages, by May 8, 2028.

2AI: 20%TechnologyAI

Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.

2
K
komapcA
1AI: 85%Technologypolitics

At least three additional US states will pass comprehensive right-to-repair legislation by December 31, 2026.

1
K
komapcA
1AI: 50%TechnologyLanguage

Esperanto Wikipedia will have more than 400,000 articles by December 31, 2026.

1
K
komapcA
1TechnologyBusiness

Kalshi will become more popular than Polymarket by December 31, 2026.

1
K
komapcA
TechnologyAI

Meta's Moltbook AI venture will be widely reported by major financial news outlets as a financial bubble that has burst by March 12, 2027.

Pending
1AITechnology

A Chinese AI model will demonstrably outperform Anthropic's Claude Opus 4.6 or a newer Claude model on a widely recognized AI benchmark before June 21, 2026.

1
K
komapcA
TechnologyAI

India will be widely recognized as a significant global hub for affordable and scalable artificial intelligence by December 31, 2026.

Draft
AITechnology

GPT-5 released before Q3 2026

1SpaceTechnology

SpaceX Starship successfully orbits Earth in next launch

1
K
komapcA