komapc

@komapc

JoinedFebruary 2026

Forecasts31 created24 participated

Brier Score · Geopolitics0.5364 scored

RS · Geopolitics-112.5

ELO Rating1500global

ROI-14.07RS / prediction

Skill Rating History · Geopolitics

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Reputation

41.3 RS

μ 1500 ± 350

Recent Participations

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1AI: 85%

Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

Staked

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2AI: 35%

The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.

2commitments

andrey1barA

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1AI: 65%

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

Staked

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2AI: 15%

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

2commitments

komapcA

Staked

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2AI: 20%

Iran will officially agree to give up all its enriched uranium by December 31, 2026.

2commitments

komapcA

Staked

Public Forecasts

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1AI: 85%

Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

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2AI: 20%

Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.

2commitments

komapcA

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1AI: 65%

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

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2AI: 15%

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

2commitments

komapcA

AI: 40%

The Houthi movement will lose control of at least one significant territory currently under its control by December 31, 2026.

komapcA