komapc

@komapc

JoinedFebruary 2026

Forecasts19 created16 participated

Brier Score · Conflict0.4603 scored

RS · Conflict-61.5

ELO Rating1500global

ROI-10.26RS / prediction

Skill Rating History · Conflict

Loading…

Reputation

41.3 RS

μ 1500 ± 350

Recent Participations

—

1AI: 85%

Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

Staked

—

2AI: 35%

The military conflict between the United States and Iran will formally end by December 31, 2026.

2commitments

andrey1barA

—

1AI: 65%

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

Staked

Wrong

Between April 15, 2026, and April 22, 2026, no international commercial passenger flights to or from Israel will be canceled specifically due to the conflict with Iran.

3commitments

komapcA

Staked

—

3AI: 49%

The active phase of the war involving Iran will not resume before June 1, 2026.

3commitments

komapcA

Staked

Public Forecasts

—

1AI: 85%

Ukraine will not launch a direct military attack on Moscow by May 9, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

—

2AI: 20%

Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.

2commitments

komapcA

—

1AI: 65%

Israel will establish a long-term military occupation of a part of southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.

1commitments

komapcA

—

2AI: 15%

Vladimir Putin will officially receive less than 60% of the total votes in the next Russian presidential election held by December 31, 2026.

2commitments

komapcA

AI: 40%

The Houthi movement will lose control of at least one significant territory currently under its control by December 31, 2026.

komapcA