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andrey1bar (@andrey1bar) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN

a

andrey1bar

A

@andrey1bar

JoinedFebruary 2026

All79 Geopolitics36 politics26 Conflict19 Middle East15 Israel13 Technology12 Sports12 Business10

Skill Rating

1710

± 139 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(7)participated(13)resolved(2)

1AI: 25±31%politics Elections

Itamar Ben-Gvir will not reserve a spot for Idit Silman on the Otzma Yehudit party list by December 31, 2026.

NO

Correct

2politics Elections

By August 18, 2026, the Yeshar Party will lead Likud in at least two different national mandate polls, and in at least one of these polls, the lead will be two mandates or more.

YES

3AI: 59±4%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will initiate a direct military strike against Israel before Israel initiates a direct military strike against Iran by July 22, 2031.

YES

4AI: 54±9%politics Elections

Gadi Eisenkot will be Prime Minister of Israel after the elections held on October 27, 2026, possibly as part of a rotation agreement.

YES

2AI: 69±6%politics Elections

In the next Knesset elections, at least two parties currently represented in the Knesset will run and fail to pass the electoral threshold.

YES

2AI: 55±20%politics Israel

Benjamin Netanyahu will be pardoned by December 31, 2026.

NO

1AI: 45±6%politics Israel

A law mandating Haredi enlistment into the Israel Defense Forces will be passed by the Knesset by December 31, 2030.

YES

1AI: 5%Business Technology

DAATAN will be a well-known brand in Israel, comparable to or exceeding Wix's brand recognition, by December 31, 2027.

YES

2AI: 60±29%Economy Social Policy

Israel will officially implement a nationwide universal basic income (UBI) program for its citizens by April 19, 2036.

YES

2AI: 47±3%politics Elections

Likud will win the next general election in Israel held by December 31, 2026.

YES

4AI: 67%Urban Development Israel

The new central bus station in Tel Aviv will be demolished by December 31, 2030.

YES

2Business Technology

Daatan will have a higher reported active user count than Kalshi in Israel by December 31, 2027.

YES

Wrong

2Weather Israel

It will rain in Israel on March 30, 2026.

שולמית ארנון

YES

Performance

ELO Rating1443global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1710global · ± 139 uncertainty

Brier Score · Israel0.1601 scored · lower is better · limited data

AI Score · Israel+0.261 scored

RS · Israel+8.5

Reputation60.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Israel

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