andrey1bar

@andrey1bar

JoinedFebruary 2026

All79 Geopolitics36 politics26 Conflict19 Middle East15 Israel13 Technology12 Sports12 Business10

Skill Rating

1710

± 139 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

created(5)participated(12)resolved(1)

1AI: 42±32%AI Technology

By December 31, 2026, OpenAI will publicly confirm that its custom AI chip, Jalapeño, is being used in production to run at least one OpenAI product or service.

andrey1bar

YES

2AI: 64±7%Technology AI

Google will make AI Mode the default tab in search results in the United States by December 31, 2026.

andrey1bar

3AI: 48±10%Science Health

Humanity will defeat aging by December 31, 2032.

Evgeny Ber

2AI: 17±22%Technology AI

Cloud Mythos will be released before September 1, 2026.

komapc

YES

3AI: 42±11%Business Technology

Mark Zuckerberg will achieve a net worth of $1 trillion by December 31, 2026.

komapc

2AI: 52%Technology Social Media

Elon Musk will tweet about Daatan by December 31, 2028.

andrey1bar

YES

Wrong

2Technology Business

Fable will be reenabled for Americans before June 20, 2026.

komapc

1AI: 5%Business Technology

DAATAN will be a well-known brand in Israel, comparable to or exceeding Wix's brand recognition, by December 31, 2027.

andrey1bar

YES

3AI: 86±2%Geopolitics Iran

Iran will continue to enforce its two-tier internet access regime for the general public by December 31, 2026.

komapc

YES

2AI: 77±25%Technology AI

Google Search will no longer display a traditional list of organic search results alongside its AI-generated responses for standard queries by May 4, 2027.

komapc

YES

2Business Technology

Daatan will have a higher reported active user count than Kalshi in Israel by December 31, 2027.

andrey1bar

YES

2AI: 61±5%Technology Business

Kalshi will become more popular than Polymarket by December 31, 2026.

komapc

Performance

ELO Rating1443global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1710global · ± 139 uncertainty

Brier Score · Technology0.1221 scored · lower is better · limited data

Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored

Peer Score · Technology+0.251 scored

AI Score · Technology+0.471 scored

RS · Technology+13

Reputation60.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Technology

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