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Roman Bar (@null) - DAATAN Profile | DAATAN
Roman Bar
Joined
March 2026
All
8
Sports
4
Conflict
3
Geopolitics
3
Middle East
2
politics
2
Chess
2
NBA
2
Elections
1
+3 more
Skill Rating
1535
± 228 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating
1465
global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2
μ 1535
global · ± 228 uncertainty
Brier Score
0.347
4 scored · lower is better · limited data
Accuracy
50%
4 resolved
Wtd. Peer Score
—
need 1 more peer-scored
Peer Score
-0.25
2 scored
ROI
-9.5
created
(2)
participated
(8)
resolved
(4)
4
AI: 39±6%
Geopolitics
Conflict
Israel will withdraw its troops from southern Lebanon by December 31, 2026.
A
andrey1bar
NO
4
AI: 59±7%
politics
Elections
At least one party will announce its withdrawal from the race for the 26th Knesset by the deadline for submitting candidate lists.
A
andrey1bar
YES
Wrong
2
Sports
NBA
The Denver Nuggets will win their NBA playoff series against the Minnesota Timberwolves.
A
andrey1bar
YES
Wrong
1
Sports
NBA
Deni Avdija will be selected to one of the All-NBA Teams for the 2025-26 season by the official announcement.
Roman Bar
3
AI: 73±1%
Sports
Chess
Yağız Kaan Erdoğmuş will become one of the top 10 ranked chess players in the world by December 31, 2026.
A
andrey1bar
NO
Wrong
4
Geopolitics
Conflict
A high-intensity military conflict will resume between Iran and US/allied forces by early May 2026, and the Strait of Hormuz will be open to international shipping by mid-May 2026.
Uri Gordon
Correct
5
Chess
Sports
Who will win the FIDE Candidates Tournament 2026?
K
komapc
Staked
1
AI: 49±10%
Conflict
Geopolitics
A formal, signed ceasefire agreement between Ukraine and Russia will be publicly announced and take effect.
Mark Janwuf
YES
NO
YES
RS / resolved prediction
AI Score
-0.84
3 scored
Reputation
62.0 RS
global · pool-based
Peer score by topic
Conflict
-0.344
(1)
Geopolitics
-0.344
(1)
Middle East
-0.344
(1)
Sports
+0.090
(1)
NBA
+0.090
(1)
Basketball
+0.090
(1)
Glicko-2 Skill History
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