Evgeny Ber
JoinedMarch 2026
Skill Rating
1616
± 195 uncertainty
Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg
Performance
ELO Rating1429global (head-to-head)
Glicko-2μ 1616global · ± 195 uncertainty
Brier Score · Middle East0.4923 scored · lower is better · limited data
Accuracy · Middle East0%3 resolved
Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored
Peer Score · Middle East-0.011 scored
ROI-24.33RS / resolved prediction
AI Score · Middle East-0.011 scored
RS · Middle East-73
Reputation83.0 RSglobal · pool-based
Glicko-2 Skill History · Middle East
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There will be no missile strikes launched from Iranian territory against Israel, nor from Israeli territory against Iran, during May 2026.
YES✗ 0.497
A high-intensity military conflict will resume between Iran and US/allied forces by early May 2026, and the Strait of Hormuz will be open to international shipping by mid-May 2026.
YES✗ 0.490