Evgeny Ber

JoinedMarch 2026

Skill Rating

1612

± 183 uncertainty

Glicko-2 · 1500 = avg

Wrong

There will be no missile strikes launched from Iranian territory against Israel, nor from Israeli territory against Iran, during May 2026.

YES✗ 0.497

Wrong

YES✗ 0.490

Correct

NO✗ 0.490

Performance

ELO Rating1469global (head-to-head)

Glicko-2μ 1612global · ± 183 uncertainty

Brier Score · Middle East0.4923 scored · lower is better · limited data

Accuracy · Middle East0%3 resolved

Wtd. Peer Score—need 2 more peer-scored

Peer Score · Middle East-0.011 scored

ROI-24.33RS / resolved prediction

AI Score · Middle East-0.011 scored

RS · Middle East-73

Reputation66.0 RSglobal · pool-based

Glicko-2 Skill History · Middle East

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